Broadway Show Ticket Sales Analysis w/e 03/13/2016

This week’s notable movements on Broadway are:

Broadway Surges Into Spring

In the week ending March 13, 2016, Broadway saw a major increase in ticket sales.  Among the 31 shows currently running, the overall Broadway box office was a total of $23,720,003, which is an increase of $3,207,944 from the week before.  Whereas last week had an average gross per show of $661,679, this past week the average weekly gross per show was $765,161.  Of these 31 shows, every single show saw an increase in ticket sales – except one.  Surprisingly, the only show to go down in box office gross this week is the biggest hit of the year: Hamilton.  While the decrease was negligible, only $7,668 bringing it down to a weekly gross of $1,758,555, the only explanation is that the show has almost completely saturated its gross potential.  This past week, it reached the outstanding percentage of its gross potential of 131.7%, which is by far the greatest of any show running.  Nevertheless, in comparison to last week’s performance, the biggest increase was seen by Wicked, which is finally getting back up to its warm weather numbers with a weekly gross of $1,662,470, an increase of $325,463 from the week before.  Similarly, The Lion King brought in $1,708,789, which is an increase of $247,458 from the week before.  Other major increases were seen by Aladdin, up by $245,936, Kinky Boots, up by $182,767, The Phantom of the Opera, up by $171,237, School of Rock, up by $170,854, Les Misérables, up by $164,125, The King and I, up by $163,509, and An American in Paris, up by $152,533.

Newer Plays Still Finding Their Footing

This season, there are a slew of new plays that are either still in previews or have just recently opened.  Thus far, the most promising is Ivo van Hove’s production of Arthur Miller’s The Crucible, which stars Oscar nominee Saoirse Ronan.  This past week, The Crucible brought in $583,709, which represents 72.3% of its gross potential.  With a top ticket price of $327.00, the average paid admission was $94.50.  This show only began previews on March 1, 2016, and is scheduled for an opening night on March 31, 2016.  Therefore, there is still time for word of mouth to spread and laudatory reviews to boost box office.  In addition, Eclipsed is a new play that recently transferred to Broadway after an acclaimed production at the Public Theater, which is also the originating home of Hamilton and Fun Home.  This play stars Lupita Nyong’o, who took home an Academy Award for Best Support Actress for her acclaimed role in Twelve Years a Slave.  Despite her widespread fame, that show is having trouble reaching its gross potential, even though reviews have already come out.  This past week, it brought in a weekly gross of $421,319, which represents just 51.3% of its gross potential.  With a top ticket price of $198.00, the average paid admission was $74.05.  Nevertheless, the audiences were quite full, to an average capacity of 88.7%, which represents strong demand but the need for discounting.  As for other new plays this season, The Humans brought in $380,140, or 69.7% of its gross potential, Blackbird brought in $411,984, or 46.6% of its gross potential, and Hughie brought in $295,800, or 37.7% of its gross potential.

The following are the Broadway ticket sales numbers for the week ending March 13, 2016:Broadway-Show-Ticket-Analysis-03-13-16

# Show Name GrossGross TotalAttn %Capacity AvgPdAdm
5 ALADDIN $1,325,184 13,639 98.72% $97.16
10 AN AMERICAN IN PARIS $856,835 9,329 69.45% $91.85
7 BEAUTIFUL $918,575 7,888 96.10% $116.45
26 BLACKBIRD $411,984 6,519 80.36% $63.20
30 BRIGHT STAR $301,410 6,481 77.30% $46.51
22 CHICAGO $469,188 6,010 69.56% $78.07
29 DISASTER! $318,847 5,729 59.78% $55.65
25 ECLIPSED $421,319 5,690 88.68% $74.05
9 FIDDLER ON THE ROOF $888,243 10,125 74.14% $87.73
17 FINDING NEVERLAND $659,099 8,500 70.64% $77.54
23 FUN HOME $466,331 5,371 90.73% $86.82
1 HAMILTON $1,758,555 10,756 101.78% $163.50
31 HUGHIE $295,800 4,083 66.11% $72.45
20 JERSEY BOYS $564,025 6,387 65.01% $88.31
11 KINKY BOOTS $844,214 8,630 75.75% $97.82
15 LES MISÉRABLES $698,731 8,945 79.36% $78.11
16 MATILDA $683,263 8,745 76.34% $78.13
21 NOISES OFF $557,404 5,999 101.33% $92.92
6 ON YOUR FEET! $973,702 9,308 71.56% $104.61
8 SCHOOL OF ROCK $900,072 10,058 88.04% $89.49
27 SHE LOVES ME $409,091 7,360 91.27% $55.58
12 SOMETHING ROTTEN! $765,481 9,167 76.19% $83.50
4 THE BOOK OF MORMON $1,353,456 8,744 102.53% $154.79
13 THE COLOR PURPLE $742,916 7,168 85.25% $103.64
19 THE CRUCIBLE $583,709 6,177 97.83% $94.50
24 THE CURIOUS INCIDENT OF THE DOG IN THE NIGHT-TIME $444,027 5,791 71.11% $76.68
28 THE HUMANS $380,140 4,250 92.23% $89.44
18 THE KING AND I $633,677 6,646 79.35% $95.35
2 THE LION KING $1,708,789 13,413 98.86% $127.40
14 THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA $723,466 8,615 67.10% $83.98
3 WICKED $1,662,470 14,103 97.56% $117.88
Totals $23,719,998 249,626 82.58% $91.07

Broadway ticket sales raw data are provided courtesy of The Broadway League All other data, text, opinion, charts and commentary are copyright © 2016 nytix.com

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Michael Tubbs
Michael's passion for Broadway and statistics came together perfectly for his assignment as "Broadway Sales Analyst" at New York Show Tickets Inc. He loves to forecast future Broadway ticket sales, diagnose breaking trends and can spot Broadway show winners and losers long before the rest of the crowd. Favorite Celebrity: Ashton Kutcher
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