Broadway Show Ticket Sales Analysis w/e 10/25/2015

This week’s notable movements on Broadway are:

“China Doll” and “Misery” – Excellent Performers Right Out the Gate

In the week ending October 18, 2015, two new shows began previews and brought in over 100% of their gross potential right out the gate. The David Mamet play China Doll, which stars frequently collaborator and box office magic Al Pacino, brought in $1,072,111 at the box office in its first partial week of six performances. This represents an astonishing 112.0% of the gross potential. With a top ticket price of $350, the average paid admission was $166.37, which goes to show that David Mamet and Al Pacino is a winning combination for ticket buyers. The producers Jeffrey Richards and Jerry Frankel are also very fortunate to have secured these artists in their producing portfolio. The show will officially open on November 19, 2015, and is scheduled to run for a limited engagement until January 31, 2016. Furthermore, the play Misery by William Goldman began previews on October 22, 2015, playing four performances in the first week of previews. With the Hollywood legend Bruce Willis making his Broadway debut in the play, Misery brought in 104.0% of its box office potential over the course of those four performances, with a weekly gross of $622,939. With a top ticket price of $297, the average paid admission was $134.63, and the audience capacity was filled to an average of 97.9%. Though not quite as amazing as China Doll, Misery is still an extraordinary box office performer in the first week of its run.

“A View From The Bridge” and Older Shows Slow Down

A third show also began previews in the week ending October 18, 2015: A View From The Bridge in a transfer production from the Young Vic in London. Without as recognizable a star as Bruce Willis or Al Pacino, this Arthur Miller classic has another great attraction that is unfortunately not as appealing in terms of box office: an experimental reinterpretation of a modern American classic and a successful run in a cool London theatre. Nevertheless, the producers decided to try their hand at bringing it to Broadway. In the first five preview performances, the outlook isn’t as positive as the other two shows that began previews this past week. Over the five shows, A View From The Bridge brought in $274,654, which represents 56.9% of its gross potential. With a top ticket price of $248, the average paid admission was $65.02, which shows a fair amount of discounting to fill up to the average audience capacity of 79.9%. This may be a show that picks up once the reviews come out after opening, as the marquee names alone may not entice the average theatregoer. Meanwhile, as new shows are beginning performances, some of the older shows are slowing down. Of the 34 shows that were running this past week, 17 of them did show a decrease in ticket sales, despite an overall increase in the industry of $2,139,508. This increase is mainly due to the two blockbuster first preview weeks. However, the average gross per show also did go up, from an average of $805,646 last week to an average of $814,596 this week. Anyway, most of the decreases were from older shows that are less enticing to theatregoers than some of the newer fare.

The following are the Broadway ticket sales numbers for the week ending October 25, 2015:Broadway-Show-Ticket-Analysis-10-25-15

Show Name GrossGross TotalAttn %Capacity AvgPdAdm
A GENTLEMAN’S GUIDE TO LOVE AND MURDER $529,853 6,375 87.86% $83.11
A VIEW FROM THE BRIDGE $274,654 4,224 79.92% $65.02
ALADDIN $1,500,799 13,537 97.98% $110.87
ALLEGIANCE $454,318 6,151 83.13% $73.86
AMAZING GRACE $476,631 6,359 68.41% $74.95
AN AMERICAN IN PARIS $1,416,288 12,535 93.32% $112.99
BEAUTIFUL $1,075,201 8,124 98.98% $132.35
CHICAGO $667,269 7,803 90.31% $85.51
CHINA DOLL $1,072,111 6,444 100.47% $166.37
DAMES AT SEA $215,450 4,156 89.11% $51.84
FINDING NEVERLAND $849,283 9,760 81.12% $87.02
FOOL FOR LOVE $371,345 4,673 91.41% $79.47
FUN HOME $745,661 5,841 98.67% $127.66
HAMILTON $1,489,233 10,708 101.32% $139.08
HAND TO GOD $208,655 2,805 45.42% $74.39
JERSEY BOYS $698,868 7,290 74.21% $95.87
KING CHARLES III $551,921 6,866 87.85% $80.38
KINKY BOOTS $981,435 9,453 82.98% $103.82
LES MISÉRABLES $744,129 8,673 76.94% $85.80
MATILDA $768,398 9,377 81.85% $81.94
MISERY $622,939 4,627 97.86% $134.63
OLD TIMES $415,176 4,946 83.55% $83.94
ON YOUR FEET! $1,096,202 11,825 90.24% $92.70
SOMETHING ROTTEN! $986,138 10,711 80.32% $92.07
SPRING AWAKENING $440,948 5,135 62.56% $85.87
SYLVIA $411,079 6,861 80.08% $59.92
THE BOOK OF MORMON $1,483,464 8,726 102.32% $170.01
THE GIN GAME $446,983 4,494 80.05% $99.46
THE KING AND I $875,907 6,670 79.63% $131.32
THE LION KING $1,901,907 13,569 100.01% $140.17
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA $882,925 10,324 80.40% $85.52
THÉRÈSE RAQUIN $413,925 6,479 79.48% $63.89
WICKED $1,621,057 13,860 95.88% $116.96
Totals $27,391,967 266,254 85.53% $99.14

Broadway ticket sales raw data are provided courtesy of The Broadway League All other data, text, opinion, charts and commentary are copyright © 2015

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Michael's passion for Broadway and statistics came together perfectly for his assignment as "Broadway Sales Analyst" at New York Show Tickets Inc. He loves to forecast future Broadway ticket sales, diagnose breaking trends and can spot Broadway show winners and losers long before the rest of the crowd. Favorite Celebrity: Ashton Kutcher
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