Broadway Show Ticket Sales Analysis w/e 10/04/2015

This week’s notable movements on Broadway are:

Two New Shows: “Thérèse Raquin” and “Sylvia”

In the week ending October 4, 2015, two new shows began previews on Broadway. Thérèse Raquin, starring Keira Knightley in her Broadway debut at Studio 54, brought in $227,826 across the five performances in its first partial week of previews. This represents 43.13% of the show’s gross potential, which was $528,826 over the five performances. The average paid admission was $68.52, and the average audience capacity was 65.3%. This demonstrates that audiences will need to get warmed up to the concept of this stage adaptation of an Émile Zola novel, set in 1868 France. With a name that is difficult to pronounce for American audiences, the A-list Hollywood name of Keira Knightley may not be enough to persuade ticket buyers to show up in hoards. Instead, the show’s success may be dependent on the reviews it receives after opening on October 29, 2015. Furthermore, another show began previews this past week: the A.R. Gurney play Sylvia, which stars Matthew Broderick, Annaleigh Ashford, Robert Sella, and Julie White. In its first two performances, the show brought in $124,200, which represents 52.03% of the show’s gross potential. This is the first Broadway production of this play, though A.R. Gurney had a production of his show Love Letters last season, which did not fare very well financially despite a slew of Hollywood names involved. Nevertheless, it is too early to determine the fate of Sylvia. In its first two previews, the average paid admission was $81.12, and the average audience capacity was 71.5%.

Broadway Fall Season Underway and Grosses on the Upswing

As more and more new shows are beginning previews, the entire Broadway industry is starting to settle into its fall gear. As the weather turns a bit cooler, audiences are less eager to spend those last few sunny hours of the summer, and Broadway becomes a more attractive option. In the week ending October 4, 2015, the entire industry saw an increase of $846,108 across the 28 shows currently running. Of these, only 9 saw a decrease in ticket sales while the remaining 19 saw an increase in ticket sales from the week before. The biggest decrease was only five digits: Hamilton with a negligible decrease of $86,279, bringing it to a weekly gross of $1,481,172, which still represents 110.95% of the musical’s gross potential. Other than the two new shows, the biggest increase was seen by The Lion King, which went up by $133,837 to reach the weekly gross of $1,892,393, representing 101.55% of the show’s gross potential. Other decreases were seen by Jersey Boys which went down by $49,956, Kinky Boots which went down by $28,035, The King and I which went down by $14,029, and Finding Neverland which went down by $10,348. All the other shows either decreased by four digits or less, or increased by five digits or less. Therefore, the overall industry stayed fairly constant this week, with a slight bend towards an improvement in ticket sales. As more shows hit the stages, this trend will hopefully continue upwards to stabilize at a healthy Broadway fall season.

The following are the Broadway ticket sales numbers for the week ending October 4, 2015:broadway show ticket analysis 10-4-15

Show Name GrossGross TotalAttn  %Capacity  AvgPdAdm
A GENTLEMAN’S GUIDE TO LOVE AND MURDER $488,848 5,745 79.18% $85.09
ALADDIN $1,365,965 13,494 97.67% $101.23
AMAZING GRACE $286,205 4,643 49.95% $61.64
AN AMERICAN IN PARIS $1,351,218 12,597 93.78% $107.27
BEAUTIFUL $1,047,532 8,052 98.10% $130.10
CHICAGO $647,941 7,848 90.83% $82.56
DAMES AT SEA $229,783 4,245 91.02% $54.13
FINDING NEVERLAND $724,795 8,530 70.89% $84.97
FOOL FOR LOVE $236,855 4,725 92.43% $50.13
FUN HOME $747,651 5,880 99.32% $127.15
HAMILTON $1,481,172 10,705 101.30% $138.36
HAND TO GOD $238,075 3,371 54.58% $70.62
JERSEY BOYS $600,079 6,289 64.02% $95.42
KINKY BOOTS $873,788 9,009 79.08% $96.99
LES MISÉRABLES $671,289 8,080 71.68% $83.08
MATILDA $662,128 8,175 71.36% $80.99
OLD TIMES $344,384 5,358 90.51% $64.27
SOMETHING ROTTEN! $915,993 9,769 79.05% $93.77
SPRING AWAKENING $402,258 5,425 66.09% $74.15
SYLVIA $124,200 1,531 71.48% $81.12
THE BOOK OF MORMON $1,489,412 8,752 102.63% $170.18
THE GIN GAME $351,748 5,026 89.53% $69.99
THE KING AND I $868,414 6,814 81.35% $127.45
THE LION KING $1,892,393 13,569 100.01% $139.46
THE PHANTOM OF THE OPERA $857,083 10,209 79.51% $83.95
THÉRÈSE RAQUIN $227,826 3,325 65.26% $68.52
WICKED $1,454,570 12,969 89.71% $112.16
Totals $21,226,520 210,902 82.26% $93.93

Broadway ticket sales raw data are provided courtesy of The Broadway League All other data, text, opinion, charts and commentary are copyright © 2015

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Michael Tubbs
Michael's passion for Broadway and statistics came together perfectly for his assignment as "Broadway Sales Analyst" at New York Show Tickets Inc. He loves to forecast future Broadway ticket sales, diagnose breaking trends and can spot Broadway show winners and losers long before the rest of the crowd. Favorite Celebrity: Ashton Kutcher
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